NL10 - AK again

[tesla79]

€0.05/€0.10 No Limit Holdem
Entraction
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com (http://weaktight.com/)

Stacks:
UTG woshizei12 (€6.53)
UTG+1 Nolikoff (€11.11)
CO tesla79 (€10.87)
BTN Mr_Usanov (€10.81)
SB shtrih200 (€5.18)
BB sermax2010 (€10.15)

Pre-Flop: (€0.15, 6 players) tesla79 is CO :kh: :ah:
1 fold, Nolikoff raises to €0.35, tesla79 raises to €1.20, 3 folds, Nolikoff raises to €3.85, tesla79 goes all-in €10.87, Nolikoff calls €7.02

Flop: :th: :3s: :qc: (€21.89, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: :ad: (€21.89, 2 players, 1 all-in)

River: :kc: (€21.89, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: €21.89
tesla79 shows two pairs Aces and Kings
:kh: :ah:
Nolikoff shows three of a kind Aces
:as: :ac:

Nolikoff wins €20.80 (net +€9.93)

tesla79 lost €10.87

The hand is intresting, because I have a large sample of villain: 1200h.
19/15, 3bet: 5.4, FT3bet: 54, 4bet range: 1.5
How can I be sure enough that he has AA or KK?
THX

[tesla79]

Any comments pls? :confused:

[castor11]

This is a cooler imo.

[babyonboard]

this is why i like just to call with AK v tighter utg or utg+1 raisers but that also had disadvantages

[castor11]

Pre call good too, but he doesn't like fold to 3bet. He can call worst hand than AKs.

[tesla79]

Pre call good too, but he doesn't like fold to 3bet. He can call worst hand than AKs.

Yes, but 1.5 4bet range means: QQ, KK, AA

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.586% 34.22% 00.37% 28123620 302808.00 { AKs }
Hand 1: 65.414% 65.05% 00.37% 53461356 302808.00 { QQ+ }

So, maybe I just have to fold, haven't I?

[castor11]

So, maybe I just have to fold, haven't I?

I don't like 3bet/fold with AKs. If you didn't go ai, you would call pf.

[tesla79]

I don't like 3bet/fold with AKs. If you didn't go ai, you would call pf.

:) I don't like too, but I think it's dry mathematics.
He has low 3bet fold, so i have to 3bet.
He has low 4bet range, so I have to fold to a 4bet.
:D

[castor11]

:) I don't like too, but I think it's dry mathematics.
He has low 3bet fold, so i have to 3bet.
He has low 4bet range, so I have to fold to a 4bet.
:D
You win:)

[tesla79]

You win:)

Yeah, It's really weird. I hope Want2push will check my reasoning too.

[want2push]

Against a so nit player a 3bet/fold might be ok, but just if you have a really big sample of hands and a really strong read that villain is not out of his standard line.